Six factors affecting property market growth

Six factors affecting property market growth

In March, the Australian housing market hit its fastest national growth rate in capital gains since 1988. Record low interest rates, heightened consumer confidence due to overperforming economic recovery, and Government stimulus measures such as the First Home Loan Deposit Scheme have spurred demand.

But there are also factors that indicate that this growth is at its peak. A continued boom is unsustainable, and markets are inherently cyclical. According to property market research firm CoreLogic there is unlikely to be a dramatic decrease in the housing market, but that its growth will slowly taper in the next few months – a change that is indicated by the following factors.

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Market Essentials - August 2020

Market Essentials - August 2020

This month the Federal Government announced the extension of the JobKeeper program for a further six months, along with the JobSeeker supplement also being extended.

Combined with more targeted extensions to the ‘mortgage holiday’ on repayments, many Australians will be breathing a sigh of relief as they’re given additional time to manage their financial affairs through the pandemic.

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Market Essentials - July 2020

Market Essentials - July 2020

Downwards pressure on home values has remained mild to-date, with capital city dwelling values falling a cumulative 1.3% over the past two months. A variety of factors helped to protect home values from more significant declines, including persistently low advertised stock levels and significant government stimulus. Additionally, low-interest rates and forbearance policies from lenders have helped to keep urgent sales off the market, providing further insulation to housing values.

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Market Essentials - June 2020

Market Essentials - June 2020

Economists have forecast a drop of between 11 and 32% in house prices over the next three years according to Commonwealth Bank, driven by the end of Government stimulus measures in September. For now, reduced stock levels, willing buyers and sellers transacting on property, and a lower than expected influx of distressed property sales are all preserving property values.

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Market Essentials - May 2020

Market Essentials - May 2020

As consumer confidence hit a record low in April, the real estate market is now faced with buyers and sellers abandoning the market until there’s more certainty. The number of new properties listed for sale in the 28 days to April 19 has fallen significantly, 28.7% below the same period last year.

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Market Essentials - April 2020

Market Essentials - April 2020

Business closures, a rapidly rising unemployment level and a plummeting share market have been the immediate major impacts of the unprecedented government measures put in place in March to stop the spread of the coronavirus.

The government restrictions also include measures that will directly affect the real estate market in Australia.

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